In December last year at the UN Climate Change Conference, 195 countries agreed to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5C (2.7F) above pre-Industrial averages. But accordingto a top NASA climate scientist, our chances of keeping that promise are very unlikely due to a recent rise in temperatures thathave been unprecedented in 1,000 years.
The latest data says this July was the warmest month ever recorded. That news came after repeatedly smashed records for monthly global temperatures. Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, has continually affirmed there is a 99 percent chance that 2016 will be the warmest year on record. In a recent interview withThe Guardian,he went on to explain that the commitment to keep Earth temperatures within the agreed 1.5C band is also looking increasingly unlikely,unless we rapidlymake considerable cuts to carbon emissions or organize widespread geoengineering projects.
In the last 30 years weve really moved into exceptional territory, Schmidt said in an interview with The Guardian. Its unprecedented in 1,000 years. Theres no period that has the trend seen in the 20th century in terms of the inclination (of temperatures).
The latest data from NASA and the US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) suggest that the warming temperatures experienced in recent years are rising considerably higher than any period over the past millennium.
These projections were made using both records dating back to 1880 and proxy data from ice cores and sediments thatcan give an indication of Earth’s temperatures throughout the past 1,000years.
Its the long-term trend we have to worry about though and theres no evidence its going away and lots of reasons to think its here to stay, Schmidt added. Theres no pause or hiatus in temperature increase. People who think this is over are viewing the world through rose-tinted spectacles. This is a chronic problem for society for the next 100 years.